The Amplifying Effect of Conflicts on Case Fatality Rate of COVID-19: Evidence From 120 Countries

Yonghui Zhai; Dayang Jiang; Giray Gozgor; Eunho Cho

doi:10.3389/fpubh.2021.681604

The Amplifying Effect of Conflicts on Case Fatality Rate of COVID-19: Evidence From 120 Countries

Yonghui Zhai
, Dayang Jiang
, Giray Gozgor
, Eunho Cho

Henan Normal University
Tianjin University of Commerce
Istanbul Medeniyet University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

10 Scopus citations

Abstract

Using the COVID-19 database of Johns Hopkins University, this study examines the determinants of the case fatality rate of COVID-19. We consider various potential determinants of the mortality risk of COVID-19 in 120 countries. The Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and the Kernel-based Regularized Least Squares (KRLS) estimations show that internal and external conflicts are positively related to the case fatality rates. This evidence is robust to the exclusion of countries across different regions. Thus, the evidence indicates that conflict may explain significant differences in the case fatality rate of COVID-19 across countries.

Original language	English
Article number	681604
Journal	Frontiers in Public Health
Volume	9
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.681604
State	Published - Aug 4 2021

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
SDG 16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions

Keywords

armed conflicts
case fatality rate
COVID-19 pandemic
machine learning estimator
mortality risk

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10.3389/fpubh.2021.681604

Cite this

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abstract = "Using the COVID-19 database of Johns Hopkins University, this study examines the determinants of the case fatality rate of COVID-19. We consider various potential determinants of the mortality risk of COVID-19 in 120 countries. The Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and the Kernel-based Regularized Least Squares (KRLS) estimations show that internal and external conflicts are positively related to the case fatality rates. This evidence is robust to the exclusion of countries across different regions. Thus, the evidence indicates that conflict may explain significant differences in the case fatality rate of COVID-19 across countries.",

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AB - Using the COVID-19 database of Johns Hopkins University, this study examines the determinants of the case fatality rate of COVID-19. We consider various potential determinants of the mortality risk of COVID-19 in 120 countries. The Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and the Kernel-based Regularized Least Squares (KRLS) estimations show that internal and external conflicts are positively related to the case fatality rates. This evidence is robust to the exclusion of countries across different regions. Thus, the evidence indicates that conflict may explain significant differences in the case fatality rate of COVID-19 across countries.

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The Amplifying Effect of Conflicts on Case Fatality Rate of COVID-19: Evidence From 120 Countries

Abstract

UN SDGs

Keywords

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